Breaking the Consumer: Exporting Empty Containers Declining. Consumer Credit is contracting at Rapid Pace. Is the Consumer Treadmill Showing Signs of Exhaustion?
If you know where to look, the American consumer is not buying into the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve great debt experiment. Port traffic is still declining and indicators show no sign of a major resurgence. If you look at the recent weak outbound pace of containers that are empty what we can expect is […]
The Art of Strategic Mortgage Defaults: The Coming Wave of Foreclosures in California. 588,000 People Nationwide Stop Paying Their Mortgage Even Though they had Funds to Pay.
Throughout the current housing crisis, most of the negative economic data has been clumped into one large group. That is, housing has been a nationwide problem and job losses have impacted virtually every state. Yet there is a coming crisis that has its targets on very specific states. In fact, many states will not even […]
The U.S. Balance Sheet: Households See Net Worth Down by $12 Trillion Since Peak and Total Debt Floating in the Market of $33 Trillion.
The Federal Flow of Funds report was released on Thursday with an expected jump in household net worth. When we did our last report, we stated that with the $13.89 trillion in wealth that evaporated to the trough, we would expect a jump in net worth to come from the massive stock market rally. The […]
S&P 500 is The New Bubble: Current S&P 500 Value is Betting on Return to Bubble Peak, Housing Mania, and 4 Percent Unemployment.
One question that seems to pop up every so often is whether the S&P 500 is overvalued. To put it simply, it is hyper-valued. From the 666 low reached in March the index has rallied 57 percent. Unfortunately much of the rally is based on temporary government stimulus, the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve trashing […]