Jun 2 2010

The growing condo shadow inventory – CityCenter in Las Vegas and Lexington Park in Chicago. The shadow inventory that is crushing commercial real estate.

There is a massive amount of vacant inventory sitting across the United States.  A good portion of this is viewable to the public but a large amount of this inventory is simply hidden from data scrutiny.  Last week we talked about the commercial real estate bust coming to the most expensive region in California of […]

May 30 2010

The great American debt purge – Americans more stressed out about debt. Mortgage, credit card, student loan, and auto loan debt up to $13.5 trillion. Average debt per household at over $120,000.

Every man, woman, and child would owe an average of $43,000 if we divided up mortgage, credit card, student, and auto debt in the United States.  Of course, this is based on the current population of 309 million.  But we know this isn’t exactly accurate since an infant really didn’t charge up a credit card […]

May 27 2010

Most over valued region in San Francisco gets a taste of the commercial real estate bust. $3 trillion in loans starting to implode at a faster rate. Why commercial real estate will plunge FDIC insured banks into closure. Bought for $415,000 per apartment unit.

The commercial real estate bust is in full swing.  This $3 trillion mortgage market is standing to push hundreds of banks into failure and adding additional strain to the embattled FDIC.  Commercial real estate (CRE) is a good indicator of where things are heading economically because it is a reflection of what revenues are being […]

May 25 2010

Why buying a home today makes little financial sense. 3 reasons why taking on a mortgage in today’s market is deep in speculation. Are homes still over valued? Tax benefit not as big as you would expect.

It is hard for many to believe that home prices in many of our largest cities are still overvalued.  Part of this distortion has to come from living in a decade long housing bubble that has adjusted the perception of value and price.  But in many areas home prices are still much too high relative […]

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