Dec 17 2009

The Commercial Real Estate Default Wave is Here: Commercial Mortgage Defaults Now at 16 Year High. 3.4 Percent of all Commercial Real Estate Loans in Default.

What has been lost in the housing talk recovery is the grim statistics that commercial real estate has fallen 37 percent in value in the last year.  This wouldn’t be such a big problem aside from the tiny detail that some $3 trillion in commercial real estate loans are still outstanding.  The commercial real estate […]

Nov 19 2009

Commercial Real Estate Reality Check: 2007 Commercial Real Estate Valued at $6.5 Trillion with $3.5 trillion loans. Today, Commercial Real Estate Valued at $3.5 Trillion with $3.5 Trillion in Loans. Can you spot the Problem?

Commercial real estate is dealing with the neutron bomb effect.  The buildings still stand but the inside is gutted as if vultures had devoured a carcass.  What we are seeing, like in many other sectors of our economy, is a distinction between reality based economics and the inflated prices of Wall Street.  If we look […]

Nov 1 2009

Plan C as in Commercial Real Estate – FDIC: 115 Bank Failures in 2009. Total Assets of FDIC Insured Banks $13.3 Trillion. $3 Trillion Backed by Shaky Commercial Real Estate.

It is one thing when a few analysts say that commercial real estate, that $3 trillion elephant in the room, is going to experience trouble starting next year.  It is another thing when billionaire investor Wilbur Ross comes out and states that commercial real estate is going to crash and burn.  We’ve been looking at […]

Oct 26 2009

Commercial Real Estate Implosion: 67 Percent Fall in Multifamily Starts, Ghost Buildings, $3 Trillion in Debt, 41 Percent Drop in CRE, and Collapse in Rents.

Driving along the highway at night, it is an eerie sight to look at some of the vacant buildings.  The lights are on but the floors are empty awaiting an audience that will never come.  Can it be that commercial real estate, with over $3 trillion outstanding be in worse shape than residential housing?  In […]

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