FDIC Loan Report and Plan C: Nearly Half of the $7.7 trillion in Loans Outstanding at FDIC Insured Banks are in the form of Commercial Real Estate. USPS Contracting CRE Space. Drop in Restaurant Traffic.
The commercial real estate debacle is heating up. Although the market is cheering the better than expected drop in second quarter GDP, much of the reason for a less than spectacular fall came from the “G” in the equation, government spending. By the way, we revised Q1 GDP lower to -6.4 percent but not much […]
The Road to Financial Serfdom: The Official Disconnect of Main Street from Wall Street and the Financial Mainstream Media.
On Thursday with the S&P 500 inching closer to the 1,000 mark it is near impossible to silence the “recession is over” media hype. Of course, this is the same media that missed the biggest economic collapse since the Great Depression but here they are predicting the end of the recession. The problem of course […]
It’s the Jobs Stupid: Why There will be no Recovery until Employment Stabilizes. When Obvious Financial Truth Becomes Uncommon. New Nurses Competing with Old Nurses for Hours Because of Gender Unemployment.
It should be rather obvious that without any sustained job growth there will be no economic recovery. In the same breath, you will have someone tell you that this is no common recession yet when it comes to talking about the stock market they will tell you that in normal times, stocks recover before jobs. […]
The Second Derivative: Employment and the Mounting Job Losses. Measuring the Velocity of Job Cuts in the Current Recession.
In addressing the unemployment situation it is important to look at the velocity of job losses. In January of 2009 we had a stunning 741,000 jobs lost in one month. This by far was the biggest one month cut during the current recession but it wasn’t the biggest one month change. The worst month came […]