Sep 15 2009

S&P 500 is The New Bubble: Current S&P 500 Value is Betting on Return to Bubble Peak, Housing Mania, and 4 Percent Unemployment.

One question that seems to pop up every so often is whether the S&P 500 is overvalued.  To put it simply, it is hyper-valued.  From the 666 low reached in March the index has rallied 57 percent.  Unfortunately much of the rally is based on temporary government stimulus, the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve trashing […]

Aug 28 2009

Going Broke on $50,000: The Story of the Struggling American Middle Class. The $50,000 Median Household Budget.

The recent recession is exposing how many American families have been treading on the edge.  Problems were already in the system before the recession began but the downturn in the economy was the ultimate catalyst.  Many families were using credit cards as a means of supplementing a decade of stagnant wages.  The median household income […]

Aug 22 2009

S&P 500 Over Priced: With 97% of Companies Reporting Q2 Earnings the PE Ratio is Now at 129. The Most Over Hyped Market Rally Ever.

There is probably no better indicator of market volatility than the current price to earnings ratio of the S&P 500.  The market volatility is spectacular and we are seeing more gyrations in this recession than we did during the Great Depression.  Since March when the S&P 500 touched the 666 mark, the rally has boosted […]

Mar 9 2009

The Red, White, and Blue Queen’s Race: The Economy Reverts to Historical Inflation Patterns: Stock Market and Real Estate Fall back in Line with Inflation. Working Harder Just to Stay in the Same Spot.

The Red Queen’s race is a situation that appears in Lewis Carroll’s Through the Looking-Glass where one has to run faster and faster just to remain in the same spot.  Imagine a treadmill that increases in speed every 10 minutes yet you don’t burn calories at the higher rate.  Many Americans are feeling as if […]

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