Record shattering 94 Million Americans not in the labor force: The army of non-working Americans continues to grow.
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The employment numbers released a few days ago left much to be desired right before entering into the nationally celebrated Labor Day holiday. Not many people can enjoy the “labor†part of the holiday since those not in the labor force has hit another stunning record. The latest gloomy figures show that 94 million Americans are not in the labor force. This category added a stunning 261,000 people while overall jobs added came in at a lackluster 173k. When we dig into the employment figures we find that many of the jobs being added are also coming in the form of low wage jobs. The market is coming to the grim realization that something is fishy with how the employment figures are reported. We supposedly have the lowest unemployment rate in seven years yet somehow we now have 94 million Americans not in the labor force with hundreds of thousands of people dropping out each month. Those finding work are largely in McJobs with low pay, no benefits, and job security that resembles the lifespan of a fly. The army of non-working Americans continues to grow.
Those not in the labor force
The unemployment rate is a tricky number since it is derived by the total pool of potentially available workers. So if you continue shrinking the pool, the unemployment rate continues to look better despite the reality that many are dropping out because they are unable to find work or are going into massive debt with going to college. We aren’t counting kids or those unable to work. This is coming from larger structural changes.
Just look at the trend here:
These are insane figures. Let us break it down for you:
Not in the labor force
Year-over-year increase:Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 1.8 million
Increase since December 2007:Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 14.9 million
Over this period only 4 million new jobs have been created:
Is it any surprise the unemployment rate is at a seven year low even though we just expanded those not in the labor force by 14.9 million? Then we have many older Americans becoming fully dependent on Social Security as their primary source of income and relying on a smaller employment base for support. These are issues that will continue to put a strain on the system short of the market adding millions of new jobs. That would be the rosy scenario. So far, that has yet to materialize.
I think the big difference we have seen over the last decade or so is the proliferation of alternative sources of media. If it were not for the internet, people would be echoing the shallow drivel that comes out of the mainstream press. When in the past has the “not in the labor force†category ever been covered? Never. The media has become a shell of its former self and has lost a sizeable portion of its power.
We have a major crisis unfolding. We have millions of Americans saddled with $1.36 trillion in student debt. We have a large number of current workers employed by low wage jobs that seem to be the top employment fields. On this Labor Day, it matters that we actually count those that are in the labor force and those that are not. Numbers do matter and when you have 94 million Americans not in the labor force, we have to dig deeper.
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JOhn said:
Can this number be parsed? How many of the 94 million are 60-65 and up? How many are considered disabled?
Any comment that we used to have 60-65 million not in the workforce? Was that the “normal” rate?
What about the steady rise? Is this due to demographic changes and not so much the changing economy?
September 7th, 2015 at 1:14 pm -
Ben said:
Has anyone backed out the baby boomer retirement numbers from this?
I’d like more insight into some of the big demographic trends happening in the USA that could explain part of this.
September 8th, 2015 at 4:55 am -
Rascal said:
@Ben
I’ve thought the same thing. Harry Dent is big on demographics and how they will affect the economy.
September 11th, 2015 at 6:02 pm -
nichole said:
Has anyone been to Washington DC lately? I moved there in search of work 4 years ago as a recent graduate to find one unpromising temp job after another. After nearly bankrupting myself paying $1300 a month for a 1 bedroom apartment I moved to Delaware where rent was much lower, taxes too.
Last week I drove into DC on a business trip to find a staggering number of new traffic on the roads and apartment buildings going up every where. I kept asking myself, “Why are all these people on the road, it’s 10 am, don’t they have jobs?” Apparently not.
I think many people are moving into the cities (younger educated people and immigrants) to work low wage jobs and split housing costs with 2+ roommates.
A one bedroom condo one hour radius of the beltway is $199k and that doesn’t include the $800-1200 condo fee. This is absolute insanity.
When will people pick up a shovel turn over some dirt and go back to our agricultural roots in small rural settings? It is much cheaper to go small, build, and grow your own than participate in this madness.
Is it not crazy to work for $10 per hour and have 2+ roommates? Maybe I don’t fit the “New American” mold? At least they will have nostalgic memories of the city night life, but not a retirement to look forward to.
September 17th, 2015 at 11:28 am