Jul 30 2010

40 years of housing data – U.S. homes still too expensive for typical families. In 1970 the median home could be purchased with 657 ounces of gold. Today, it only requires 155 ounces. The erosion of the U.S. dollar

The last 40 years have seen the U.S. housing market transform into a market largely driven by incredible amounts of debt.  The credit card companies understood the basic notion that the monthly payment drove most financial decisions.  Even though people purchase a home with a 30 year mortgage, the implicit understanding was that in a […]

Jun 24 2010

Current state of the American housing market. What foreclosures and distressed borrowers tell us in hidden data. 2010 on path to having 4 million foreclosure filings. HAMP call center data at record levels while loan modifications dwindle.

Trying to get honest data from the banking industry regarding the current state of housing is a monumental task.  We are left using multiple data sources to get an accurate picture of the current state of the American housing market.  Even then, we are left trying to piece together data that is largely incomplete.  For […]

Jun 16 2010

Gear up for another lost decade in real estate. Housing will remain stagnate from 2010 to 2020. Demographic shifts, higher mortgage rates, and shifting consumer taste in real estate.

The dynamics for housing moving forward point to a very bleak future and a potential lost decade yet again from 2010 to 2020.  Housing has a treacherous path moving forward and deep down demographic shifts will keep a lid on any significant housing appreciation moving forward.  The economy is in the process of deleveraging from […]

May 25 2010

Why buying a home today makes little financial sense. 3 reasons why taking on a mortgage in today’s market is deep in speculation. Are homes still over valued? Tax benefit not as big as you would expect.

It is hard for many to believe that home prices in many of our largest cities are still overvalued.  Part of this distortion has to come from living in a decade long housing bubble that has adjusted the perception of value and price.  But in many areas home prices are still much too high relative […]

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