Oct 27 2010

Shipping the housing market overseas. Long-term housing prospects hinge on an economic recovery for working Americans first – No housing bottom until middle class recovers a foothold in the U.S.

The housing market can have no sustainable recovery without the employment market improving.  It is incredible that over three years into this crisis that there has been little focus on coupling employment with housing.  Banks argue that many are simply not paying their mortgage yet they want the Federal government to ease lending restrictions.  Who […]

Oct 18 2010

Fed extends a helping hand to Hilton Hotels and takes over malls across the country – The Federal Reserve clandestine bailout of the $3 trillion commercial real estate industry. South Florida apartment building prices down 52 percent from peak.

If you think residential real estate is having problems, you should shift your gaze to the mammoth issues confronting commercial real estate.  Little is mentioned about commercial real estate (CRE) in the mainstream media yet this is a $3 trillion market (or twice the annual GDP of Texas).  Much of the problems in CRE are […]

Sep 19 2010

U.S. home prices will resume price decline after year of banking and government intermission. Multiple signs point to another year of slow home price growth and U.S. home values over priced by 20 percent.

Home sales follow very seasonal patterns.  Yet much of this natural mechanism was stunted by banks delaying foreclosures and the government artificially stimulating home sales.  Now that much of the stimulus has been exhausted, it is clear that home prices are correcting once again.  It is hard for many to imagine that home prices can […]

Sep 9 2010

California MLS inventory up 25 percent since April. MLS public data at 144,000 but 742,000 mortgages in California are in foreclosure or one payment behind.

MLS inventory for California has increased by 25 percent since April of this year.  Part of this has to do with more foreclosures and short sales trickling their way onto the market.  It also has to do with sales declining because of tax credit expiration fatigue.  But what is the real inventory if banks were […]

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