Feb 12 2009

Monthly Foreclosures and the Dreaded Road Ahead: On Path to another 3,000,000+ Foreclosures for 2009. 1 out of Every 173 Homes Received a Foreclosure Filing in California. 8,800 Foreclosure Filings a Day in the United States.

Foreclosures filings in past economic downturns were usually driven by job losses or contractions in the economy.  In our current recession we had an interesting dynamic in that many foreclosures were caused by the actual mortgages given to borrowers.  This of course spurred the housing bubble but more importantly, positioned a double whammy for our […]

Jan 12 2009

Homeownership: Is a High Homeownership Rate Good Policy? No. Examining 3 Cycles of Homeownership Data over 100 years and Implications for the Economy.

The current housing crisis has left us with an opportunity to examine the driving issue behind a high homeownership rate.  Is it really worth it to push for an economic policy that champions a high homeownership rate?  The problem with blanket statements is they usually play into herd mentality and feed into group think.  One […]

Dec 31 2008

Housing Bubble Genesis: 5 Reasons that Didn’t Cause the Housing Bubble and 5 Reasons that did.

There is a danger in having power.  Credit at least many decades ago was seen almost as an extension of the morality of the borrower.  That is, the way credit was given many times reflected the capacity, collateral, and character of the borrower.  Main Street is already feeling this recession like the worst since World War II and […]

Jan 23 2008

A Housing Led Recession. Four Key Indicators Showing that this Recession will be Led by Housing.

With the emergency rate cut by the Federal Reserve, it is not a question about going into a recession but how deep of a recession it will be. The markets have not bounced aside from a few sectors including those bottom fishing in the financial sectors thinking a bail out is in the works or […]

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