Recessions: The Last 5 Recessions and Measuring how long we will have job losses. This will be the worst recession since World War II.
Forecasting is a tricky road to walk on in the investing world. That is why trying to predict future job losses is more of an educated guess. In fact, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) only recently stated that we were in fact in a recession. I have put out an estimate that by […]
The Main Street Economic Effect: 10 Reasons why This Recession will feel like a Minor Depression.
The investing world is full of cryptic words. Credit default swaps. Seasonal adjustments. Collateralized debt obligations. But for the average American they are interested in how the economic crisis will impact them on a personal level. How does the actions of Wall Street impact their daily lives.
58% of Modified Mortgages Re-default after 8 Months: Why are Loan Modifications not Working?
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency released data today showing that over half of modified mortgages are back in default after only 6 months. More startling data is that 36 percent of the borrowers re-defaulted after only 3 months. What this is telling us is that modifications are not helping to buffer the […]
The Housing Bubble Started in 1979: The 3 Stages of the Housing Bubble. From Birth to Bust. Housing Collapse is 30 Years in the Making.
Many would argue that the real estate bubble started in 1997. At this point, residential real estate values in the United States disconnected from any economic fundamentals. We have heard this argument many times. Yet I am going to argue that the current real estate bubble started in 1979.